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Showing posts with label Liberal Democrats. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Liberal Democrats. Show all posts

Thursday, 7 May 2015

The Independent: A lesson in the long game



Originally written 27th May 2014

In the late Spring of 2014, my letter box had never been so well used. Every day for about a month I received a glossy leaflet asking for my vote. UKIP even sent me a giant poster, should I feel compelled to stick it in my front window to let the whole village know my intentions. I thought they had stopped sending out giant posters at random. Not UKIP, they seemed pretty desperate.

Forty three pages of photographs of very smiley people and words that really don’t say very much. Even as an avid political commentator, it was difficult to tell from the leaflets who stands which way on what or why I should bother to read their shiny brochures, let alone vote for them.

I had lived in this particular village for two years. In those two years until May 2014, I received no other literature from any party. However, in that time I received an update from our local Independent councillor once a month, every month, for twenty four months straight. He would tell me what was happening with the local development plan, how I could get in touch with him, and all sorts of other boring, marginally useful information.

At the start of May, regular as clockwork, his two sided A4 sheet dropped through the letter box. An update, as normal, this time peppered with rebuttals to claims made by Labour, or the Conservatives, or the Liberal Democrats in their glossy brochures. But nevertheless, an update.




The layout and presentation (much like this website) was atrocious and he could really have done with studying one of those Microsoft Word for Dummies books for a couple of months. But the sentiment was there, and it told me everything I needed to know, even if some lines were formatted to the centre and other appeared to be formatted to a very wavy, completely imaginary line. True, it would be a stretch to say that his simple, black on white approach was a refreshing change from the assault of red, blue, yellow and purple, but at least his style was distinctive. 

I suppose he does have to do it all himself. He doesn’t have Party design recommendations or branding guidelines. Or for that matter a team of consultants testing strategies on focus groups or the like. Good old politics I would call that. He tells me what I need to know month after month when the others are nowhere to be seen.

What this little independent man had done, was give the Big Boys a lesson in the long game. He built relationships and communicated clearly, regularly and effectively. He showed himself to be on our side, and if not on our side for every issue, at least he tells us what his side is, and why. At least he’d been willing to work for us going forward. As an incumbent, wittingly or unwittingly, this strategy has contributed to a platform that allowed him to better his result from 2010.


The truth is, the majority of the village had decided who they would vote for long before the other circuses rode in to town, and this showed; the Independent candidate increased his winning margin by 12 percentage points while the Conservatives and Liberals lost 10% and 12% respectively. By the time the LibLabCon campaigns began in mid-April, they were so late to the party they need not have bothered turning up at all.



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What's Up With Clegg?


Originally written Tuesday, 27th May 2014

Liberal Democrats always get a kicking in the local elections. So does the Party in power. Little surprise then when the LibDems, fulfilling both the criteria of being LibDems, and the Party in power, faced a massive drubbing last week.

In his own words ‘heartbroken’, in the words’ of others ‘toxic’ and ‘no longer credible’, poor Nick really has had a bad couple of weeks.

Questions will inevitably be asked of the LibDem strategy going in to the recent elections. Tony Blair praised Nick Clegg’s leadership in going head to head with Farage and UKIP. A brave decision maybe, but the brave decision isn’t always the best decision, or in fact the winning decision. Ed Miliband spent most of the campaign keeping his head down hoping that Nigel Farage wouldn’t notice him and therefore wouldn’t steal his lunch money. Not a particularly bold move, but arguably strategically sound in the face of the rampant wave of Euro-scepticism sweeping the continent. Miliband hardly has a reputation for boldness or strength anyway, therefore, stood to lose precisely nothing from avoiding a fight with the more energetic, flamboyant Farage. There was going to be quite a vicious protest vote, and in most situations, it’s those who oppose who make the most noise. Miliband kept out of the way and didn’t antagonise Farage, his voters or undecideds too much. He dodged the UKIP pummelling handed out to Clegg, and that could be considered a victory of sorts. Clegg fought Farage head on, and challenged him to a debate which he promptly lost. If there’s one thing I’m certain of, it’s that you can’t call someone out and lose. You look mighty silly.

It’s the easiest thing to walk away when the going gets tough. Not my words. Clegg’s. For all his talk of decisions being vindicated, and not buckling under the pressure, he seems to have forgotten that his totemic policy going in to 2010 was the abolition of tuition fees – a policy which by all accounts he had all but given up on as early as March 2010, resigning thousands of students to years of debt. Such is the turf of political message delivery that the details don’t matter. Clegg screwed the students makes for a lovely headline.




Yet further, as asserted by Tony Blair, Clegg started May 2010 on the left of Labour. After the dust had settled and the smoke had cleared, he emerged at the end of the very same month on the right of Labour in a coalition with the Conservatives. As he appeared as Deputy Prime Minister, blinking in the full glare of the press, he could hardly believe his luck, and a great number of his supporters could hardly believe their eyes – their leader, as popular in some polls as President Obama, had played Kingmaker with their votes and had ended up on the wrong side of the political spectrum. His transformation from popular protest vote to fully authenticated member of the establishment is long since complete. Can the average voter really see any difference between Clegg and Cameron anymore? Could they ever? And can the average voter really be expected to sift through the mountains of information required to really see the details of Clegg’s input? It’s much easier to tar him with the same brush as those right-wingers. It’s much easier to believe, and much simpler to project that he blithely went along with good old Dave. He was always going to be tainted by the Conservatives, the LibDems were always going to be punished if they delivered anything but a perfect rendition for their supporters, and whoever led them in such a coalition could never prosper in the long term.

Perhaps this is LibDem voters expecting too much. Clegg was their saviour. For once they would have a real chance at power. For once they could make a difference instead of being third out of three. Unfortunately, it’s unlikely that was ever really a possibility in a Cameron Ministry.


In fact, if this leaked poll is to be believed, Mr. Clegg is in line to lose his Sheffield seat next May as well.



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